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Friday, April 13, 2012

WHAT IS HAPPENING IN THE MARKET.......13 APRIL 2012

AGAIN BLOOD BATH IN THE MARKET ON 13 APRIL 2012 :-


TODAY WE SAW AGAIN BLACK FRIDAY DIRTY PICTURE, NIFTY BECAME DOWN -69.40 POINTS @ 5207.45 AND DOWN -121.35 POINTS DOWN IN INTRADAY SESSION FROM 5306.75 - 5185.40, WE HAD GIVEN ALERT IN THE MORNING REGARDING THIS IN "MARKET COMMENTARY AND FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK.........13 APRIL 2012". AS WEAKNESS WAS LOOKING FROM THE MORNING SESSION AND INCREASED MORE IN THE AFTERNOON, SO BLOOD BATH SEEN TILL CLOSING.





WHAT WAS THE REASON FOR THE BLOOD BATH :-


INTERNATIONAL FACTOR :-


1. POOR CHINESE ECONOMIC DATA CAME AT 12:39 PM
2. EUROPEAN MARKET NEGATIVITY UP TO -1.1% DOWN DUE TO SOMETHING NEGATIVE NEWS IN EURO ZONE IN SPAN AND GERMANY. GERMANY IS THINKING TO EXIT FROM EURO ZONE.


DOMESTIC FACTOR :-


1. POOR IIP (INDIA INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION DATA) 
2. REVISING THE JAN 2012 MONTH IIP DATA @ 1.1 FROM 6.8 SHOWS THE TOO MUCH WEAKNESS IN THE INDUSTRY OUTLOOK
3. POOR INFOSYS RESULT AND WEAKER NEXT QUARTER GUIDANCE ALSO
4. FIIs (FOREIGN INSTITUTIONAL INVESTORS) & DIIs (DOMESTIC INSTITUTIONAL INVESTOR) SELLING
5. STRONG DOLLAR $ DUE TO HEAVY DEMAND OF DOLLAR IN THE MARKET IN COMPARISON TO WEAKER RUPEE
7. INFLATION PROJECTION HUMOR
8. RBI RATE CUT HUMOR 

SO, ALL THE ABOVE MENTIONED FACTORS WERE THE RESPONSIBLE FOR THIS BLOOD BATH.

EARLIER ALERT REGARDING THIS WEAKNESS :-

ALERT WAS GIVEN ON THIS BLOODBATH EARLIER ON 26 MARCH 2012 AND FURTHER UPDATES ON 28 MARCH 2012 & 12 APRIL 2012.


ALL THESE REPORTS ARE REAL TIME REPORTS POSTED ON THE BLOG. TO CLICK ON EACH LINK TO SEE THE FULL REPORT :-


ALERT ON 26 MARCH 2012 :- FIIs ARE BOOKING THEIR PROFITS IN LONG POSITION IN INDEX FUTURES INCLUDING NIFTY FUTURE VERY FAST ALSO LIQUIDITY IS DECREASING IN  CASH SEGMENT BE ALERT..........26 MARCH 2012 




ALERT ON 28 MARCH 2012 :- FIIs  CASH FLOW PATTERNS  IN CASH SEGMENT FROM 2000 TO 2012 (TIL 28 MARCH 2012) ON JAN - FEB - MARCH - APRIL - MAY SERIES BASIS  


ALERT ON 12 APRIL 2012 :- NOW FIIs HAS STARTED TO TAKE SHORT POSITION IN INDEX FUTURE IN NIFTY FUTURE - BE ALERT




NOTE :- THERE WAS ONLY 8 TRADING SESSIONS IN APRIL 2012 FROM 02ND APRIL 2012 TO 13TH  APRIL 2012 AND FIIs SOLD IN INDEX FUTURES INCLUDING NIFTY FUTURES IN 4 TRADING SESSIONS CONTINUOUSLY FROM 4TH APRIL 2012 TO 11TH APRIL 2012 OUT OF 8 TRADING SESSIONS AND BOUGHT IN REMAINING 4 TRADING SESSIONS ON 2,3,12, & 13 APRIL 2012, BUT SELLING AMOUNT WAS RS. -2258.70 CR. WHICH WAS MORE THAN THE BUYING AMOUNT THAT WAS RS. 1140.35 CR ONLY. SELLING PRESSURE WAS ALSO SEEN IN THE CASH SEGMENT ON 9,10, & 11 APRIL 2012 AND TOTAL SELLING AMOUNT WAS IN CASH SEGMENT BY FIIs ON THESE TRADING SESSIONS WAS RS. -1043.87 CR.


ANOTHER ONE THING WHICH WE CAN BE NOT IGNORE THAT  FROM LAST SOME TRADING SESSIONS FIIs AND DIIs ARE ON THE SAME TRACK MEANS TO SAY WHATEVER FIIs ARE DOING IN CASH SEGMENT, SAME THING IS DONE BY DIIs ALSO. SO, BOTH INSTITUTIONS ARE ON THE SAME TRACK.

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