FIIs CASH FLOW PATTERNS IN CASH SEGMENT FROM 2000 TO 2012 (TIL 28 MARCH 2012) ON JAN - FEB - MARCH - APRIL - MAY SERIES BASIS :-
TABLE SHOWING FIIs CASH FLOW IN CASH SEGMENT FROM 2000 TO 2012
3D CLUSTERED COLUMN CHART OF FIIs CASH FLOW IN CASH SEGMENT FROM 2000 TO 2012 (TILL 28 MARCH 2012) ON JAN TO MAY SERIES BASIS
ABOVE TABLE AND 3D CLUSTER COLUMN CHART ARE SHOWING FIIs CASH FLOW IN CASH SEGMENT FROM 2000 TO 2012 (TILL 28TH MARCH 2012) ON JAN - FEB - MARCH - APRIL & MAY SERIES BASIS MEANS INVESTMENT IN CASH SEGMENT HAS MENTIONED FOR THE JAN, FEB, MARCH, APRIL & MAY MONTH BASIS FOR EVERY YEAR FROM 2000 TO 2012, ONLY JAN, FEB & MARCH INVESTMENT DATA HAS TAKEN IN 2012.
AFTER ANALYZING THE ABOVE TABLE AND PATTERNS, IT IS CLEAR THAT FIIs HAS SOLD THEIR INVESTMENT IN CASH SEGMENT 8 TIMES FROM 2000 TO 2011 IN MAY MONTH, MEANS EVERY YEAR FIIs HAS SOLD THEIR INVESTMENT IN MAY MONTH (2001, 2002, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2010, 2011). SO IT IS EXPECTED THAT FIIs WILL ALSO SELL THEIR INVESTMENT IN CASH SEGMENT IN MAY 2012 AS EARLIER HAVE SOLD IN MAY.
AFTER SEEING THE 3D CLUSTER CHART, IT IS CLEAR LOOKING THAT VOLATILITY HAS STARTED IN CASH SEGMENT FROM 2004 (JAN - FEB - MARCH - APRIL - MAY) AND HAS CONTINUED IN FURTHER YEAR IN SAME MONTHS. FIIs SOLD IN CASH SEGMENT IN MAY MONTH IN LAST TWO PREVIOUS YEAR MAY(IN MAY 2010 AND IN MAY 2011).
IN MAY 2010 :- SOLD RS. -9463.70 CR.
IN MAY 2011 :- SOLD RS. -6614.40 CR.
IN MAY 2012 :- EXPECTED TO NEGATIVE
IF WE CONSIDER THE VOLATILITY IN 2012 IN JAN, FEB AND MARCH 2012, IT IS CLEAR THAT FIIs INCREASED CASH FLOW VERY SHARPLY IN CASH SEGMENT IN FEB 2012 IN COMPARISON TO PREVIOUS MONTH JAN 2012 BUT FURTHER DECREASED IN MARCH (TILL 28 MARCH 2012) IN COMPARISON TO PREVIOUS MONTH FEB 2012, SO IT IS CLEAR INDICATION THAT FIIs ARE NOT PUTTING MONEY IN CASH SEGMENT FURTHER OR LIQUIDITY HAS DECREASED SHARPLY, SO VERY LITTLE BUYING AMOUNT IS EXPECTED IS CASH SEGMENT IN APRIL 2012 MEANS TO SAY LESS LIQUIDITY IS EXPECTED IN APRIL 2012 AND NEGATIVE LIQUIDITY IS EXPECTED IN MAY 2012.
SO OVERALL ON THIS DATA BASIS NEED TO BE ALERT FURTHER. BECAUSE FIIs WILL SELL IN CASH SEGMENT SHARPLY.
BE ALERT.....
AS ALERT HAD GIVEN EARLIER IN THE REPORT POSTED ON THE BLOG THAT WHATEVER LONG POSITION HAS REMAINED IN INDEX FUTURES INCLUDING NIFTY FUTURES RS. 1582.09 CR. @ 5164.71 ON OVERALL BASIS IS EXPECTED TO BOOK IN COMING TRADING SESSION. ON 27TH MARCH 2012 FIIs HAS BOOKED PROFIT IN ITS LONG POSITION RS. -555.85 CR, AND NOW TODAY FIIs HAS BOOKED MORE RS. 540.28 CR AND ONLY RS. 1215.38 CR. HAS REMAINED TO BOOK FURTHER. SO TOTAL NET SELLING IN INDEX FUTURES INCLUDING NIFTY FUTURE IS RS. -4096.62 CR @ 52251.39 AT NIFTY SPOT LEVELS. THE MAIN THING IS THAT IT HAD ALSO ALERTED IN THE REPORT REGARDING LIQUIDITY DECREASING IN CASH SEGMENT, AND FINALLY FIIs SOLD THE BIGGEST SELLING AMOUNT IN CASH SEGMENT IN THIS YEAR TILL NOW RS. -1332.85 @ 5178.85 NIFTY SPOT LEVELS, SO SELLING CASH SEGMENT HAS STARTED NOW. BE ALERT.......
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