FIIs EXPOSER IN INDEX FUTURES INCLUDING NIFTY FUTURE @ NIFTY SPOT LEVEL BASIS ON MONTH BASIS FROM JAN 2011 TO APRIL 2011 :-
AFTER ANALYZING THE EXPOSER ITS CLEARLY STATS THAT WHATEVER THE SHORT POSITION HAD CREATED BY FIIs IN JAN 2011 WAS COVERED IN FEB 2011 AND IN MARCH 2011 ALSO CREATED LONG POSITION IN MARCH 2011 BUT FIIs HAVE BOOKED PROFIT IN THEIR MARCH 2011 LONG POSITION IN APRIL 2011 SESSION.
OVER ALL NET LONG POSITION IN MARCH 2011 :- RS. 7252.58 CR. @ 5521.46
OVER ALL NET SELLING POSITION IN APRIL 2011 :- RS. 4731.87 CR. @ 5845.81
SO ITS CLEAR THAT FIIs BOOKED PROFIT
5845.81 - 5521.46 = +324.35 POINTS PER LOT
AND BALANCE IS :- 7252.58 - 4731.87 = RS. 2520.71 CR @ 5521.46 REMAINING LONG POSITION IN MARCH EXPOSER.
BUT IF SEE THE OVERALL EXPOSER THEN FIIs HAVE ONLY RS. 231.57 CR AS NET LONG POSITION:-
OVERALL NET TOTAL LONG POSITION IN FEB 2011 AND MARCH 2011 :- RS. 1968.09 CR. + RS. 7252.58 CR. = RS. 9220.67 CR. @ 5465.69
OVERALL NET TOTAL SELLING POSITION IN JAN 2011 AND APRIL 2011 :- (RS. -4257.33 CR.) + (RS. -4731.87 CR.) = RS. -8989.20 CR @ 5789.06
SO NET LONG POSITION FROM JAN 2011 TO APRIL 2011 IS ONLY RS. 231.57 CR.
IF WE SEE THE ABOVE CHART, ITS CLEARLY STATES THAT IT IS EXPECTED MORE DOWN SIDE FROM CURRENT LEVEL IN NIFTY SPOT AND CAN GO UP TO 5636.60 - 5617.28 WHICH IS ALSO 50 DAYS MOVING AVERAGE. A STRONG BOUNCE BACK IS POSSIBLE FROM THIS LEVEL.
IF NIFTY SPOT DOESN'T HOLD 5717.71 WHICH IS 30 DAYS MOVING AVERAGE THEN SURELY CAN TOUCH 5636 - 5617.28. IF NIFTY SPOT COMES AT THIS LEVEL THEN TAKE LONG POSITION IN NIFTY.
SO IT IS SUGGESTED THAT DON'T TRADE IN NIFTY ON LONG SIDE IN THIS VOLATILE SESSION...FIRST WATCH IT..THEN TAKE ACTION.....
AFTER ANALYZING THE EXPOSER ITS CLEARLY STATS THAT WHATEVER THE SHORT POSITION HAD CREATED BY FIIs IN JAN 2011 WAS COVERED IN FEB 2011 AND IN MARCH 2011 ALSO CREATED LONG POSITION IN MARCH 2011 BUT FIIs HAVE BOOKED PROFIT IN THEIR MARCH 2011 LONG POSITION IN APRIL 2011 SESSION.
OVER ALL NET LONG POSITION IN MARCH 2011 :- RS. 7252.58 CR. @ 5521.46
OVER ALL NET SELLING POSITION IN APRIL 2011 :- RS. 4731.87 CR. @ 5845.81
SO ITS CLEAR THAT FIIs BOOKED PROFIT
5845.81 - 5521.46 = +324.35 POINTS PER LOT
AND BALANCE IS :- 7252.58 - 4731.87 = RS. 2520.71 CR @ 5521.46 REMAINING LONG POSITION IN MARCH EXPOSER.
BUT IF SEE THE OVERALL EXPOSER THEN FIIs HAVE ONLY RS. 231.57 CR AS NET LONG POSITION:-
OVERALL NET TOTAL LONG POSITION IN FEB 2011 AND MARCH 2011 :- RS. 1968.09 CR. + RS. 7252.58 CR. = RS. 9220.67 CR. @ 5465.69
OVERALL NET TOTAL SELLING POSITION IN JAN 2011 AND APRIL 2011 :- (RS. -4257.33 CR.) + (RS. -4731.87 CR.) = RS. -8989.20 CR @ 5789.06
SO NET LONG POSITION FROM JAN 2011 TO APRIL 2011 IS ONLY RS. 231.57 CR.
NIFTY SPOT TREND ON 3 MONTHS BASIS FROM 28 JAN 2011 TO 29 APRIL 2011
IF WE SEE THE ABOVE CHART, ITS CLEARLY STATES THAT IT IS EXPECTED MORE DOWN SIDE FROM CURRENT LEVEL IN NIFTY SPOT AND CAN GO UP TO 5636.60 - 5617.28 WHICH IS ALSO 50 DAYS MOVING AVERAGE. A STRONG BOUNCE BACK IS POSSIBLE FROM THIS LEVEL.
IF NIFTY SPOT DOESN'T HOLD 5717.71 WHICH IS 30 DAYS MOVING AVERAGE THEN SURELY CAN TOUCH 5636 - 5617.28. IF NIFTY SPOT COMES AT THIS LEVEL THEN TAKE LONG POSITION IN NIFTY.
SO IT IS SUGGESTED THAT DON'T TRADE IN NIFTY ON LONG SIDE IN THIS VOLATILE SESSION...FIRST WATCH IT..THEN TAKE ACTION.....
