Red Alert :- Finally FIIs are booking profits in their Long Positions in Index Futures...................25.03.2015

As already alerted on 05.03.2015 that "FIIs have given the Book Profit Signal in their major Long Position in Index Futures, as already sold Rs. -2013.74 Cr. in Feb 2015. Union Budget and RBI Policy event have already happened and RBI has become cut the repo rate also. All the major events have been discounted and no other major event is there. It may be possible that FIIs may book more profit in their long positions further." Please refer the article "http://nifty-analysis.blogspot.in/2015/03/alert-what-fiis-are-doing-after-budget.html".

See the Trades of FIIs in Index Futures from 05th March 2015 to 25th March 2015 below:

After looking the above table, it is clear date FIIs have booked their profits in their long positions in index futures on major basis.

FIIs had Long Position in Index Futures Rs. +6919.36 Cr @ 8740.05 Nifty Spot Levels from 01st Jab 2015 to 04th March 2015

Now have a look on FIIs overall position in Index Futures from 01st Jan 2015 to 25th March 2015:-

After analyzing the above table, it is clear that FIIs have only Long Position in Index Futures Rs. +1818.19 Cr @ 8740.05 Cr. 

Continuation with Feb 2015, FIIs also booked profit in their long position in March 2015 on major basis.

FIIs have given clear signal that they are not in buy mood while Nifty Spot is trading @ 8530.80 (Closed as on 25.03.2015) and they are selling continuously.

Note:-  FIIs are already sit on big profits (Rs. 9674.37 Cr. @ 7402.72 at Nifty Spot Level Basis) Which is on Mark to Market Basis on 2014 basis Refer Article:- "http://nifty-analysis.blogspot.in/2015/01/what-fiis-are-doing-in-nifty-future-in.html". 

Still FIIs are in big profits more than +1000 points in Nifty Spot basis. IFRS (International Financial Reporting Standards) will be implemented from 1st April 2015 on voluntary basis and mandatory basis (Mentioned by Union Finance Minister in the Union Budget Speech 2014). IFRS will impact many companies regarding the financial reporting side.It may be possible that FIIs may book more profits in their long position further which may drag the Nifty up to 7800. When alerted on 04th March 2015 then Nifty Spot was at 8922.65 (closed on 04th March 2015) and now Nifty Spot at 8530.80 (closed on 25th March 2015), means Nifty Spot corrected -391.85 points, -4.39% from the alert date (04th March 2015). Any technical bounce back in between will be selling opportunity. 

Alert:- What FIIs are doing after Budget and RBI Rate cut event..........................05.03.2015

Union Budget 2015-16 presented on 28th February 2015 which was very important for the market and we also saw the huge volatility on that day. Lets have a look on FIIs Trading Activities in Feb 2015 which will clear FIIs activity in the market before budget:

There were 20 trading session in Feb 2015. 

FIIs sold in 12 Trading Sessions and Buy in 8 Trading Sessions.

FIIs Total Buy in Index Futures in 8 Trading Sessions = Rs. 6032.56 Cr.

FIIs Total Net Sell in Index Futures in 12 Trading Session= Rs. -8046.30

After analyzing the above data, it is clear that FIIs have sold Rs. -8046.30 Index Futures before the Union Budget and Selling Trading Sessions were more in comparison Buying Trading Sessions. Means FIIs were not positive on the budget that's why buying was not coming from them and finally FIIs sold Rs. -2013.74 Cr. in Index Futures on net basis (Rs. 6032.56 Cr (Total Buy Amount) - Rs. 8046.30 (Total Sell Amount).

Note:- FIIs are already sit on big profits (Rs. 9674.37 Cr. @ 7402.72 at Nifty Spot Level Basis) Which is on Mark to Market Basis on 2014 basis Refer Article:- "http://nifty-analysis.blogspot.in/2015/01/what-fiis-are-doing-in-nifty-future-in.html". 

Lets have a look on FIIs Trading Activity from 01st Jan to 04th March 2015.

After analyzing the above table, it is clear that FIIs have given the Book Profit Signal in their major Long Position in Index Futures, as already sold Rs. -2013.74 Cr. in Feb 2015. Union Budget and RBI Policy event have already happened and RBI has become cut the repo rate also. All the major events have been discounted and no other major event is there. It may be possible that FIIs may book more profit in their long positions further.