USD/INR affects the following commodity in India in terms of price :-
1. Gold
2. Silver
3. Crude.
4. Copper
5. Zinc
6. Lead
If USD/INR increases more from the current level say 73 or 77 then Gold
will be around 36000 to 38000, if Gold price in International Market
remain same as currently trading @ $1417 per troy ounce. 1 troy ounce =
31.1035 grams. If Gold price increases further from the current level
in the near future say up to $1575 - $1650, then Gold Price in India
will be around 40000, if USD/INR rallies on up side remain same in the
near future like current rally is going on.
For Silver, it can
touch 60000 - 65000, if USD/INR increases from the current level as
suggested above. Now in International Market currently it is trading @
$24.55 per troy ounce, if it increases from the current level in the
near future say $26 - $28 then we will silver silver @ 70000 also if
USD/INR rallies remain same like currently is going on.
For
Crude, If in International Market,it increases from current level say
$115 - $120 and USD/INR rallies remain same as current is going on the
crude oil price in Indian terms will be around 8500.
Now
on MCX price of Gold is 33555 per 10 grams, day's high @ 33788. Silver @
56851 per kg, day's high @ 57500. Crude oil @ 7356 per barrel, day's
high @ 7486. Copper @ 498, day's high @ 502.30. Means there is no demand
of Gold, Silver, Crude and Copper
as the price of these commodities are increasing very fast. The reason
is only and only USD/INR appreciation because these commodities are
international based commodities and international based commodities are
always valued in dollars and our exchange rate in terms of dollars is
decreasing means to say our purchasing power is decreasing in terms of
value of money in international market against dollar , means suppose if
someone want to purchase something from international market then he
has to pay in dollars but he is having Indian currency so that what he
will do he will purchase the dollars by giving Indian currency. Earlier
say in Feb 2012, if someone want to buy 1 dollar the he had to pay Rs
.49 only means by paying Rs. 49 he can take 1 dollar but now today need
to pay Rs. 67.13 to take one dollar means purchasing power efficiency of
Indian rupee has decreased much bigger. means to say to buy commodities
from international market is very costly in terms of Indian currency
because less unit of dollars will have by paying more unit of Indian
currency.