FIIs TRADING ACTIVITY IN INDEX FUTURES INCLUDING NIFTY FUTURE & SPOT / CASH SEGMENT ON NIFTY SPOT LEVEL BASIS ON WEEKLY BASIS FROM 21 FEB 2012 TO 24 FEB 2012

FIIs TRADING ACTIVITY IN INDEX FUTURES INCLUDING NIFTY FUTURE & SPOT / CASH SEGMENT ON NIFTY SPOT LEVEL BASIS ON WEEKLY BASIS FROM 21 FEB 2012 TO 24 FEB 2012 :-

AFTER ANALYZING BOTH THE TABLES IT IS CLEAR THAT THERE IS NO DOWN TREND IS LOOKING IN THE MARKET. IF WE SEE THE WEEKLY TABLE THEN IT IS FOUND THAT FIIs HAS DONE ONLY WEEKLY TRADE IN NIFTY FUTURE, THEY SHORT NIFTY FUTURES RS. 402.39 CR. @ 5556.55 AND COVERED RS. 475.17 CR. @ 5456.30, MEANS TO SAY 100 POINTS HAS TAKEN BY FIIs AND IF WE CONSIDER ON SPOT / CASH SEGMENT DATA THEN FIIs HAS BOUGHT RS. 11289.65 CR. @ 5506.27 WHICH IS THE HUGE BUYING AMOUNT ON WEEKLY BASIS. FIIs HAS BOUGHT RS. 8955.30 CR. @ 5429.30 ON 24 FEB 2012 WHICH IS THE HIGHEST INTRADAY BUYING AMOUNT OF NOT ONLY IN 2011 BUT ALSO IN 2012 TILL 24 FEB 2012. SO CLEAR INDICATING THAT FIIs ARE HUGE BULLISH ON MARKETS.

IF WE SEE THE 2ND TABLE THEN IT IS CLEAR THAT FIIs HAS TAKEN LONG POSITION IN NIFTY FUTURE RS. 1324.48 CR @ 5437.79 IN FEB 2012 TILL 24 FEB 2012 AND TOTAL BUYING IN CASH SEGMENT IS RS. 23685.49 CR @ 5419.99 WHICH SHOWS CLEARLY THAT FIIs ARE NOT LOOKING FURTHER DOWNTREND , THEY ARE SEEING SOMETHING POSITIVE CUES IN THE MARKET THAT IS THE REASON THEY ARE PUTTING TONS OF  MONEY IN THE MARKET AND KEEP PUTTING. IF WE SEE ON OVERALL BASIS THEN FIIs HAS BOUGHT RS. 33530.54 CR @ 5164.13 ON YEAR 2012 TILL 24 FEB 2012 BASIS AND MARKET IS NOT LOOKING BELOW 5164.13 IN ANY CONDITION BY COMING MONTHS. 

 FIIs OVERALL NET LONG POSITION IN NIFTY FUTURES ON YEAR BASIS IN 2012 TO TILL 24 FEB 2012 IS RS. 5291.58 CR @ 5178.46. 

AFTER ANALYZING ALL THE FACTORS IT IS EXPECTED THAT NIFTY CAN TOUCH 5820+ IN COMING TRADING SESSIONS.

"W" BOTTOM IN NIFTY SPOT ON CHARTS :-

"W" BOTTOM IN NIFTY SPOT

"W" BOTTOM IN CRUDE OIL

"W" BOTTOM IMPACT (BECAUSE OF "W" BOTTOM CRUDE OIL IS TRADING HIGHER @ $109.70

"W" BOTTOM EXAMPLE

AFTER ANALYZING THE ABOVE CHARTS IT IS CLEAR THAT WHEN "W" IS CREATED THEN HUGE BULLISH PATTERNS MADE AND THIS TIME NIFTY SPOT HAS CREATED "W" BOTTOM PATTERN AND WILL TOUCH NEW HIGH, SO EVERY 100 POINTS DIP IN NIFTY WILL BE BUYING OPPORTUNITY.

BANK NIFTY VIEW :- BANK NIFTY SPOT WEEKLY TRADING SUPPORT & RESISTANCE FROM 27 FEB 2012 TO 02 MARCH 2012

RESISTANCE :- 11010.51, 11514.23, 11807.71
SUPPORT :- 10219.31, 9931.83, 9428.11


BREAK - EVEN POINT :- 10723.03


MARKET OUTLOOK :- POSITIVE IF MAINTAINS ABOVE 10723.03 ON WEEKLY BASIS

BANK NIFTY VIEW :- BANK NIFTY SPOT TRADING SUPPORT & RESISTANCE......27 FEB 2012

RESISTANCE  :- 10698.71, 10890.63, 11022.21

SUPPORT :- 10375.21, 10243.63, 10051.71

BREAK - EVEN POINT :- 10567.13

MARKET OUTLOOK :- POSITIVE IF MAINTAINS ABOVE 10567.13

NIFTY SPOT WEEKLY TRADING SUPPORT & RESISTANCE FROM 27 FEB 2012 TO 02 MARCH 2012

RESISTANCE :- 5570.86, 5712.43, 5794.91
SUPPORT :- 5346.81, 5264.33, 5122.76


BREAK - EVEN POINT :- 5488.38


MARKET OUTLOOK :- POSITIVE IF MAINTAINS ABOVE 5488.38

NIFTY VIEW :- NIFTY SPOT TRADING SUPPORT & RESISTANCE.....27 FEB 2012

RESISTANCE :- 5498.50, 5567.70, 5614
SUPPORT :- 5383, 5336.70, 5267.50


BREAK -EVEN POINT :- 5452.20


MARKET OUTLOOK :- POSITIVE IF MAINTAINS ABOVE 5452.20

FIIs TRADING ACTIVITY IN INDEX FUTURES INCLUDING NIFTY FUTURE ON NIFTY SPOT LEVEL BASIS ON WEEKLY BASIS FROM 06 FEB 2012 TO 10 FEB 2012

FIIs TRADING ACTIVITY IN INDEX FUTURES INCLUDING NIFTY FUTURE ON NIFTY SPOT LEVEL BASIS ON WEEKLY BASIS FROM 06 FEB 2012 TO 10 FEB 2012 :-

FIIs EXPOSER IN INDEX FUTURES INCLUDING NIFTY FUTURE @ NIFTY SPOT LEVEL BASIS ON WEEKLY BASIS FROM 06 FEB 2012 TO 10 FEB 2012

FIIs EXPOSER IN INDEX FUTURES INCLUDING NIFTY FUTURE @ NIFTY SPOT LEVEL BASIS ON MONTH BASIS FROM 02 JAN 2012 TO 10 FEB 2012

AFTER ANALYZING THE ABOVE 1ST TABLES IT IS CLEAR THAT FIIs BOOKED SOME PROFITS IN ITS LONG POSITIONS IN NIFTY FUTURES IN THE LAST WEEK FROM 06 FEB 2012 TO 10 FEB 2012. FIIs TOOK LONG POSITION RS. 1195.85 CR IN THREE TRADING SESSIONS FROM 06 FEB 2012 TO 08 FEB 2012 AND BOOKED PROFITS RS. -1423.55 CR IN ITS LONG POSITION IN THE LAST TWO TRADING SESSIONS FROM 09 FEB 2012 TO 10 FEB 2012 OUT OF FIVE TRADING SESSIONS IN THE LAST WEEK. IT IS CLEAR SHOWING THAT FIIs HAVE STARTED TO BOOK PROFITS IN THE MARKET. NET SELL POSITION (BOOKED PROFITS) ON WEEKLY BASIS FROM 06 FEB 2012 TO 10 FEB 2012 IS RS. -228.55 CR @ 5406.35. MEANS TO SAY THAT IT IS NEED TO BE VERY CAREFUL REGARDING LONG SIDE AROUND 5406 LEVEL. IF WE SEE IN CASH SEGMENT THEN LAST WEEK FROM 06 FEB 2012 TO 10 FEB 2012, FIIs HAVE BOUGHT CONSISTENTLY RS. 3397.80 CR. BUT ON 10 FEB 2012, FIIs HAVE BOUGHT LOWEST AMOUNT IN CASH SEGMENT IN COMPARISON TO OTHER TRADING SESSIONS FROM 6 FEB 2012 TO 09 FEB 2012. ITS MEANS SUDDENLY FIIs HAVE REDUCED ITS BUYING EXPOSER IN CASH SEGMENT ALSO. SO SELLING IN CASH SEGMENT CAN ALSO SEEN IN COMING TRADING SESSIONS.

AND, AFTER ANALYZING THE 2^ND TABLE IT IS CLEAR SHOWING THAT FIIs HAVE TAKEN LONG POSITION IN NIFY FUTURE RS. 3967.10 CR @ 4919.14 NIFTY SPOT LEVELS IN JAN 2012 BUT HAVE BOOKED SOME PROFITS IN THE STARTING OF FEB 2012 SERIES, FIIs HAVE BOOKED RS. -218.17 CR @ 5337.67 TILL 10 FEB 2012 MEANS MARKET IS NOT LOOKING ON UPSIDE FROM THIS LEVEL. 

NIFTY SPOT ON TECHNICAL BASIS:-

 

 NIFTY SPOT MOVEMENT ON

SYMBOL OF BEARISH

 10 FEB 2012

 

AFTER ANALYZING THE ABOVE CHART IT IS CLEAR THAT NIFTY SPOT IS LOOKING BEARISH FROM THE CURRENT LEVELS TWO BEARISH PATTERNS HAS MADE FIRST IS “SHOOTING STAR” AND 2^ND IS “DARK CLOUD COVER”. BOTH THE TWO TECHNICAL PATTERNS ARE BEARISH PATTERNS.

BE READY FOR DOWNSIDE…..BULL RUN IS OVER AND NOW PROFIT BOOKING SESSION WILL BE STARTED. NIFTY SPOT WILL BE POSITIVE ON UPSIDE IF HOLDS AND TRADES ABOVE THE RANGE @ 5413 – 5440, CLOSE ABOVE 5440 IN 3 CONSECUTIVELY TRADING SESSIONS WILL CONFIRM FOR NEW HIGH OTHERS MARKET IS READY FOR BEARERS. OTHER WISE CAN BREAK THE 5200 ALSO

BANK NIFTY SPOT ON TECHNICAL BASIS:- 

BANK NIFTY SPOT MOVEMENT ON 10 FEB 2012

AFTER ANALYZING THE ABOVE CHART IT IS CLEAR THAT BANK NIFTY SPOT IS ALSO LOOKING BEARISH FROM THE CURRENT LEVELS TWO BEARISH PATTERNS HAS ALSO MADE FIRST IS “HANGING MAN” AND 2^ND IS “DARK CLOUD COVER”. BOTH THE TWO TECHNICAL PATTERNS ARE BEARISH PATTERNS.

SO BE READY FOR DOWNSIDE IN BANK NIFTY SPOT ALSO, BANK NIFTY SPOT WILL BE POSITIVE IF HOLDS AND TRADES ABOVE THE RANGE @ 10603 – 10650 AND CLOSING ABOVE 10650 IN THREE CONSICUTIVLY  TRADING SESSIONS WILL BE THE CONFIRMATION OF THE UPTREND AND WILL TOUCH THE NEW HIGH. OTHER WISE CAN BREAK THE 10022 ALSO.

SO, ACCORDING TO BOTH FIIs TRADING ACTIVITY AND CHARTS MARKET IS LOOKING DOWN FROM THE CURRENT LEVELS BECAUSE OF ONLY PROFIT BOOKING BY FIIs.

BE CAUTIOUS REGARDING LONG POSITIONS AROUND @ 5400. 

SO, SHORT NIFTY FUTURE MARCH EXPIRY @ 5400 – 5460, STOP LOSS @ 5515, TARGET @ 5325 – 5265 – 5175.

SHORT BANK NIFTY FUTURE MARCH EXPIRY @ 10450 – 10525, STOP LOSS @ 10625, TARGET @ 10285 – 10161 – 10035.

BANK NIFTY VIEW :- BANK NIFTY SPOT TRADING SUPPORT & RESISTANCE ON YEAR 2012 BASIS

RESISTANCE :- 10709.01, 13449.38, 14920.71
SUPPORT :- 6497.31, 5025.98, 2285.61


BREAK - EVEN POINT :- 9237.68


MARKET OUTLOOK :- POSITIVE IF MAINTAINS ABOVE 9237.68 ON YEARLY BASIS

NIFTY VIEW :- NIFTY SPOT TRADING SUPPORT & RESISTANCE ON YEARS 2012 BASIS

RESISTANCE :- 5693.18, 6762.06, 7343.08
SUPPORT :- 4043.28, 3462.26, 2393.38


BREAK - EVEN POINT :- 5112.16


MARKET OUTLOOK :- POSITIVE IF MAINTAINS ABOVE 5112.16

BANK NIFTY VIEW :- BANK NIFTY SPOT MONTHLY TRADING SUPPORT & RESISTANCE ON FEB 2012 SERIES BASIS

RESISTANCE :- 10629.71, 11339.98, 12710.71
SUPPORT :- 8548.71, 7177.98, 6467.71


BREAK - EVEN POINT :- 9258.98


MARKET OUTLOOK :- POSITIVE IF MAINTAINS ABOVE 9258.98 ON MONTH BASIS

BANK NIFTY VIEW :- BANK NIFTY SPOT WEEKLY TRADING SUPPORT & RESISTANCE FROM 13 FEB 2012 TO 17 FEB 2012

RESISTANCE :- 10603.95, 10765.25, 10975.25
SUPPORT :- 10232.40, 10022.15, 9860.85


BREAK - EVEN POINT :- 10393.70


MARKET OUTLOOK :- POSITIVE IF MAINTAINS ABOVE 10393.70 ON WEEKLY BASIS

BANK NIFTY VIEW :- BANK NIFTY SPOT TRADING SUPPORT & RESISTANCE......13 FEB 2012

RESISTANCE :- 10550.36, 10658.08, 10761.16
SUPPORT :- 10339.56, 10236.48, 10128.76


BREAK - EVEN POINT :- 10447.28

MARKET OUT LOOK :- POSITIVE IF MAINTAINS ABOVE 10447.28

NIFTY SPOT MONTHLY SUPPORT & RESISTANCE ON FEB 2012 SERIES BASIS

RESISTANCE :- 5414.81, 5630.38, 6043.76
SUPPORT :- 4785.86, 4372.48, 4156.91


BREAK - EVEN POINT :- 5001.43


MARKET OUTLOOK :- POSITIVE IF MAINTAINS ABOVE 5001.43 ON MONTH BASIS

NIFTY SPOT WEEKLY TRADING SUPPORT & RESISTANCE FROM 13 FEB 2012 TO 17 FEB 2012

RESISTANCE :- 5431.91, 5482.23, 5536.71
SUPPORT :- 5327.11, 5272.63, 5222.31


BREAK - EVEN POINT :- 5377.43


MARKET OUTLOOK :- POSITIVE IF MAINTAINS ABOVE 5377.43

NIFTY VIEW :- NIFTY SPOT TRADING SUPPORT & RESISTANCE........13 FEB 2012

RESISTANCE :- 5425.88, 5470.16, 5512.58
SUPPORT :- 5339.18, 5296.76, 5252.48


BREAK - EVEN POINT :- 5383.46


MARKET OUTLOOK :- POSITIVE IF MAINTAINS ABOVE 5383.46