FIIs Position in Index Futures on Calendar and Financial Year Basis till 05th Oct 2015.......................05th Oct 2015

Workshop on Technical Analysis at An Institute of Ministry of Finance, Government of India.....................18.09.2015

Workshop on Technical Analysis at National Institute of Financial Management (An Institute of Ministry of Finance, Government of India) on 17th - 18th Oct, 2015.

Speaker: Mr. Rakesh Bansal, Vice President, R.K Global and Mr, Rishi Mehra, CEO, Corporate Partners

Post Graduate Executive Programme in Financial Markets.............................04.07.2015

Post Graduate Executive Programme in Management (Financial Markets) 2015-16

Salient Features One year, Fast Track, Weekend Programme at New Delhi Visit to International Financial Centres at Singapore Visit to Domestic Financial Centres in Mumbai Monitored and delivered by Academic Council and esteemedFaculty Team Globally benchmarked inputs from well-known academicians Input on market regulation from market regulators such as SEBI, PFRDA, IRDA, RBI, etc. Multiple pedagogy-workshops, simulations, cases, book-filmreviews, live projects, conferences Career Opportunities Investment banker Financial Planning & Wealth Manager Financial Analyst-Equity and Commodities Fundamental and Technical Analyst Fund/Protfolio Manager Equity and Debt Market Broking Corporate Re-structuring, Mergers & Acquisitions Consulting Surveillance / Compliance / Regulation Manager Financial Journalist Risk Management and Derivatives Advisor Click to Register

Big Alert:- FIIs are Booking Profits in their Long Position in Nifty Future....................2015

There are two type of tables have prepared :

1. Calendar Year Wise ( Prepared - Because most of the FIIs do financial reporting on calendar year basis in their country)
2. Financial Year Wise (Prepared - Because Financial Year Reporting System is applicable in India)

FIIs are booking their huge profits in the long positions in Nifty Future which had created in Calendar Year (2014) & Financial Year (2014-15).

After analyzing the above tables (Calendar-Year basis) , the following inference may be drawn:

FIIs had overall net Long Position in Nifty Future on Calendar-Year basis (2014) Rs. +9674.37 Cr. @ 7402.72 Nifty Spot Level basis.

Now FIIs have overall net Sell Position in Nifty Future on Calendar-Year basis (2015) till 11th June 2015 Rs. -4015.18 Cr @ 8521.78 Nifty Spot Level basis.

It is clear that FIIs have booked at least 50% book profit in their long position in Nifty Future which had created in 2014 (Calendar-Year) basis and earned  +1119.06 Points in Nifty Future also.

After analyzing the above tables (Financial-Year basis), the following inference may be drawn:

FIIs had overall net Long Position in Nifty Future on Financial-Year basis (2014-2015) Rs. +7079.08 Cr. @ 7950.58 Nifty Spot Level basis.

Now FIIs have overall net Sell Position in Nifty Future on Financial-Year basis (2015-2016) till 11th June 2015 Rs. -4419..48 Cr @ 8403.95 Nifty Spot Levels basis.

It is clear that FIIs have booked at least 62.43% book profit in their long position in Nifty Future which had created in 2014-2015 (Financial-Year) basis and earned  +453.37 Points in Nifty Future also.

FIIs have clearly indicated they are not in mood to buy in the market and 7800 - 7400 will work as major support for Nifty Spot because FIIs have balance long position Rs. +5659.19 Cr @ 7402.72 Nifty Spot Level (On Calendar-Year basis).

&

FIIs have balance long position Rs. +2659.60 Cr @ 7950.58 Nifty Spot Level basis (On Financial-Year basis).

Currently Nifty Spot is trading @  7965.35. As per the sentiment is concern Strong Major Support for Nifty Spot would be 7400 and it is expected that big cash inflow may come in the market at these levels because FIIs have major balance long position (as per calendar year - 2014) in Nifty Future Rs. +5659.19 Cr @ 7402.72 Nifty Spot Level basis. FIIs basically follow calendar-year for filing their accounts. As per the Indian Markets concern it is right time to enter in the market through good SIPs in Mutual Fund and there is need to wait for direct entry in the market. From 1st Oct 2015 market may try to sustain its bottom and after that structural bull run may come in the market. Till August 2015, Market may be very range bound and highly volatile.

Jain Irrigation Systems Limited Q4 Net Profit rises 31% to Rs. 98.5 Cr. - The largest Indian multinational Micro Irrigation Company in the country

Jain Irrigation Q4 net profit rises 31% to Rs 98.5 cr. Net Debt as of Mar-15 has been reduced by Rs. 308.7 Cr. From Dec -14 levels (From Rs. 3167.2 Cr to Rs. 2858.5 Cr.)

Jain Irrigation Systems Limited, the largest Micro Irrigation Company in the country. It has more than 10000 associates worldwide and revenue of 60 billion rupees, is an Indian multinational company with manufacturing plants in 28 locations across globe. It is engaged in manufacturing of Micro Irrigation Systems, PVC Pipes, HDPE Pipes, Plastic Sheets, Agro Processed Products, Renewable Energy Solutions, Tissue Culture Plants, Financial Services, and other agriculture inputs since last 34 years. It has pioneered silent revolution with modern irrigation systems and innovative technologies in order to save precious water and has helped to get significant increase in crop yields, especially for millions of the small farmers.

Countries	116
Continents	5
Plants	28
Offices & Warehouses / Depots	116
Distributors	5,485
Global workforce	More than 9.000
Agri and irrigation Scientists: Engineers, Technologists and Technicians	Over 1,526

Major Customers –

• India : Aditya Birla, APMIP, Bharti, BSNL, Coca-Cola, GGRC, Gujrat Gas, Hindustan Levers, HFCL, Hutch, IGL, IVRCL, Larsen & Toubro, Mahanagar Gas, Nestle, Power Grid, Tantia Constructions, BEFESA, Ramky, Reliance, Tata, etc.
• Overseas :  Alcatel, Amari Plastics Plc., Cargill, Coca-Cola, Friesland Foods, GE, General Mills, Heinz, Innocent, Kerry, Langers Juices Company Inc, Larsen & Toubro, Mars Incorporated, McCormik, Mitsui & Co. Ltd., Nestle, Polytrim, Saarioinen, Schumacher, Sleaford, SVZ Industrial Fruit & Vegetable, Taiyo, Unidelta, Vink, Worlee etc.

FIIs are Selling Dil Khol Ke (Free from open heart) in Index Future (Nifty Future and Bank Nifty Future) from 16th April to 06th May 2015

FIIs sold Index Futures Dil khol ke (Free from open heart) Rs. -7423.46 Cr @ 8321.15 Nifty Spot Level from 16th April 2015 to 06th May 2015.

Nifty Spot became down -609.70 Points (8706.70 closing on 16th April 2015  - 8097 closing on 06th May 2015).

Alert had given in advance on 25th March 2015.

Check the full article:- http://nifty-analysis.blogspot.in/2015/03/red-alert-finally-fiis-are-booking.html

Article on Non Performing Assets and its impact on Equity Share Price of the Bank...........28.04.2015

My article on "Non Performing Assets and its impact on Equity Share Price of the Bank" has published in the journal on Financial Markets and Economic Development of Guru Gobind SIngh Indraprastha University, New Delhi, 2015. Sharing some snap shots of the journal and contents. If any body wants the full article then request may be sent to saurabh_2004@rediffmail.com.

Saurabh Maheshwari.

Certified Market Professional & Former Consultant from National Stock Exchange of India Limited

Independent Research Analyst and Blogger

www.nifty-analysis.blogspot.com

Red Alert :- Finally FIIs are booking profits in their Long Positions in Index Futures...................25.03.2015

As already alerted on 05.03.2015 that "FIIs have given the Book Profit Signal in their major Long Position in Index Futures, as already sold Rs. -2013.74 Cr. in Feb 2015. Union Budget and RBI Policy event have already happened and RBI has become cut the repo rate also. All the major events have been discounted and no other major event is there. It may be possible that FIIs may book more profit in their long positions further." Please refer the article "http://nifty-analysis.blogspot.in/2015/03/alert-what-fiis-are-doing-after-budget.html".

See the Trades of FIIs in Index Futures from 05th March 2015 to 25th March 2015 below:

After looking the above table, it is clear date FIIs have booked their profits in their long positions in index futures on major basis.

FIIs had Long Position in Index Futures Rs. +6919.36 Cr @ 8740.05 Nifty Spot Levels from 01st Jab 2015 to 04th March 2015

Now have a look on FIIs overall position in Index Futures from 01st Jan 2015 to 25th March 2015:-

After analyzing the above table, it is clear that FIIs have only Long Position in Index Futures Rs. +1818.19 Cr @ 8740.05 Cr. 

Continuation with Feb 2015, FIIs also booked profit in their long position in March 2015 on major basis.

FIIs have given clear signal that they are not in buy mood while Nifty Spot is trading @ 8530.80 (Closed as on 25.03.2015) and they are selling continuously.

Note:-  FIIs are already sit on big profits (Rs. 9674.37 Cr. @ 7402.72 at Nifty Spot Level Basis) Which is on Mark to Market Basis on 2014 basis Refer Article:- "http://nifty-analysis.blogspot.in/2015/01/what-fiis-are-doing-in-nifty-future-in.html". 

Still FIIs are in big profits more than +1000 points in Nifty Spot basis. IFRS (International Financial Reporting Standards) will be implemented from 1st April 2015 on voluntary basis and mandatory basis (Mentioned by Union Finance Minister in the Union Budget Speech 2014). IFRS will impact many companies regarding the financial reporting side.It may be possible that FIIs may book more profits in their long position further which may drag the Nifty up to 7800. When alerted on 04th March 2015 then Nifty Spot was at 8922.65 (closed on 04th March 2015) and now Nifty Spot at 8530.80 (closed on 25th March 2015), means Nifty Spot corrected -391.85 points, -4.39% from the alert date (04th March 2015). Any technical bounce back in between will be selling opportunity. 

Alert:- What FIIs are doing after Budget and RBI Rate cut event..........................05.03.2015

Union Budget 2015-16 presented on 28th February 2015 which was very important for the market and we also saw the huge volatility on that day. Lets have a look on FIIs Trading Activities in Feb 2015 which will clear FIIs activity in the market before budget:

There were 20 trading session in Feb 2015. 

FIIs sold in 12 Trading Sessions and Buy in 8 Trading Sessions.

FIIs Total Buy in Index Futures in 8 Trading Sessions = Rs. 6032.56 Cr.

FIIs Total Net Sell in Index Futures in 12 Trading Session= Rs. -8046.30

After analyzing the above data, it is clear that FIIs have sold Rs. -8046.30 Index Futures before the Union Budget and Selling Trading Sessions were more in comparison Buying Trading Sessions. Means FIIs were not positive on the budget that's why buying was not coming from them and finally FIIs sold Rs. -2013.74 Cr. in Index Futures on net basis (Rs. 6032.56 Cr (Total Buy Amount) - Rs. 8046.30 (Total Sell Amount).

Note:- FIIs are already sit on big profits (Rs. 9674.37 Cr. @ 7402.72 at Nifty Spot Level Basis) Which is on Mark to Market Basis on 2014 basis Refer Article:- "http://nifty-analysis.blogspot.in/2015/01/what-fiis-are-doing-in-nifty-future-in.html". 

Lets have a look on FIIs Trading Activity from 01st Jan to 04th March 2015.

After analyzing the above table, it is clear that FIIs have given the Book Profit Signal in their major Long Position in Index Futures, as already sold Rs. -2013.74 Cr. in Feb 2015. Union Budget and RBI Policy event have already happened and RBI has become cut the repo rate also. All the major events have been discounted and no other major event is there. It may be possible that FIIs may book more profit in their long positions further.

  

Short Bank Nifty Futures @ 19520-19545 - Call gave to paid members.....................16.02.2015

Today Short Call gave in Bank Nifty Future @ 19520 - 16545, Stop Loss @ 19575, Target @ 19385. Call gave to paid members via Watsapp at 10:15 am. After giving the call, Bank Nifty Future hit @ 19570 at 10:38 am. It became hit the target @ 19385 at 11:23 am and made the low @ 19325 at 11:25 am. Finally hit the new day's low @ 19211 at 15:17.

Members made the Profit  in the Call Rs. 3500/- (140 Points * 25) per lot.

Investment Amount  = Rs. 39000/- per lot
Return =  Rs. 3500/- (+8.97%)